Topic

Iran

11 articles

Can secondary sanctions reach a refinery outside Lyon?

Operation Economic Outcast forces European financial institutions into a binary choice: trade with Iran or maintain access to the U.S. dollar. With an August 30…

Finance World Politics

Rein Kaljumäe · Aug 25, 2026 • 11:09

Can Iran's Rial Survive Two Million to the Dollar?

Operation Epic Fury and the 'Economic D-Day' sanctions have pushed the Iranian rial to a staggering two million per dollar. As 57% of the population faces malnu…

Politics Finance Iran

Rein Kaljumäe · Aug 24, 2026 • 14:40

Will Oman's Corridor to Tehran Outlast Trump's Ultimatum?

When the 60-day US-Iran MoU expired in 2026, Donald Trump bypassed all diplomatic channels to threaten Oman live on television. This decision risks dismantling …

World Politics Oman

Rein Kaljumäe · Aug 17, 2026 • 17:07

Will the Hormuz Agreement survive the end of free transit?

Tehran and Muscat have finalized a joint management framework that effectively privatizes the world's most vital maritime artery. This article explores how a 7%…

Politics World Iran

Rein Kaljumäe · Aug 06, 2026 • 13:33

Will the Iran-U.S. collision survive its own internal logic?

Operation Epic Fury marks the shift from proxy skirmishes to a direct Iran-US collision in 2026. With 19 American casualties and oil hitting $88, the global ord…

World Politics Conflict

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 29, 2026 • 06:14

Can Kuwait and Bahrain Survive Someone Else's War?

When Iranian forces struck three merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz on July 7, 2026, they didn't just break the June ceasefire — they exposed it as an agree…

World Politics Iran

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 08, 2026 • 10:33

Can a Funeral Manufacture What Four Months Could Not?

Ali Khamenei was killed on February 28, 2026, yet his coffin spent four months on public display before a ceasefire allowed the spectacle his death required — a…

World Politics Iran

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 05, 2026 • 11:24

Can Mojtaba Khamenei Rule a Republic That Banned Dynasties?

When Ali Khamenei died on February 28, 2026, Iran's power vacuum filled itself in under 48 hours — not through deliberation, but through IRGC pressure that stee…

World Politics Iran

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 04, 2026 • 08:56

Why did kinetic friction force the Vance-Iran postponement?

A historic digital peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran faced immediate physical resistance as Vice President JD Vance canceled his Swiss summit. While a $…

Politics World Diplomacy

Elisabeth Saar · Jun 19, 2026 • 12:14

Can the U.S.-Iran Peace Accord lower global food prices?

The Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding marks the end of a 100-day conflict that crippled global shipping. By unlocking $24 billion in assets and reopening th…

Politics World Middle East

Inese Kalvane · Jun 13, 2026 • 06:13

Will the price cap survive a 14.5 million barrel Hormuz shock?

While UK inflation hits a temporary low of 2.8%, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has created a massive 14.5 million barrel oil deficit. This analysis explor…

Finance World Energy

Elisabeth Saar · May 27, 2026 • 08:14