Topic

Geopolitics

40 articles

Can Trump’s Iran strategy hold when the Gulf allies pay the bill?

After a 12-day war in 2025, the Trump administration enacted a tactical reset on August 1, 2026. This pause in 'Maximum Pressure 2.0' highlights the vulnerabili…

Politics World Iran Strategy

Rein Kaljumäe · Aug 02, 2026 • 07:26

Will Africa's post-aid ambition hold as the donor floor drops?

Africa is shifting from humanitarian dependency to strategic self-sufficiency as Western aid budgets shrink. With private capital and remittances now outpacing …

Politics World Africa

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 30, 2026 • 13:27

Will the 2026 UN election find a leader or just a P5 clerk?

As the race for the 10th UN Secretary-General intensifies, the organization faces a choice between institutional tradition and structural reform. With 7 candida…

Politics World Estonia

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 30, 2026 • 07:28

Will the Iran-U.S. collision survive its own internal logic?

Operation Epic Fury marks the shift from proxy skirmishes to a direct Iran-US collision in 2026. With 19 American casualties and oil hitting $88, the global ord…

World Politics Conflict

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 29, 2026 • 06:14

Can Netanyahu-Trump 2026 geopolitics survive the November midterms?

In July 2026, a high-stakes summit between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu signaled a tactical pivot from military escalation toward a calculated political …

Politics World Middle East

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 28, 2026 • 09:50

Can Drapatyi end the culture of lies in Ukraine’s military?

President Zelenskyy’s decision to replace General Syrskyi with Mykhailo Drapatyi in 2026 marks a pivotal shift in Ukraine's war strategy. Driven by mass protest…

Politics World Ukraine War

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 22, 2026 • 14:40

Can the Lebanon Pilot Zone survive a 10 km collision with reality?

The Lebanon Pilot Zone Test marks a 2026 attempt to replace militia control with the Lebanese Armed Forces across a 10 km buffer. As the June 26 Trilateral Agre…

World Politics Middle East

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 21, 2026 • 13:27

Does the OTP-Luminor deal trade regional safety for liquidity?

The sale of Luminor to Hungary’s OTP Group marks a tectonic shift in the Baltic financial landscape, moving away from its traditional Nordic foundations. This a…

Finance Politics Estonia

Elisabeth Saar · Jul 21, 2026 • 06:14

Can Ankara and Cairo bridge the gap to stabilize Libyan oil?

The Turkiye-Libya-Egypt power struggle has shifted from a decade of proxy warfare to a strategic partnership focused on energy and defense. By 2026, the formati…

World Politics Turkey

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 20, 2026 • 12:14

Can a US tariff survive the geography of a Hormuz Strait blockade?

As of mid-2026, the Hormuz Strait has been effectively closed for 141 days, trapping 21 million barrels of oil daily. This structural economic siege challenges …

World Politics Finance

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 20, 2026 • 07:24

Can a 2026 football banner spark a Falklands diplomatic flare-up?

A 2026 football banner in Atlanta masks a deeper crisis: a leaked Pentagon memo suggesting the US may abandon British sovereignty in the Falklands for strategic…

Politics World Falkland Islands

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 18, 2026 • 12:13

Will the Crimea energy cutoff collapse the Russian grid?

Ukraine's 2026 drone campaign has systematically dismantled the Crimean power grid, leaving major cities in the dark and stalling Russian military logistics. Th…

World Politics Ukraine

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 17, 2026 • 15:48