Topic

IRGC

5 articles

Can US-Iran direct escalation survive a power vacuum in Tehran?

Operation Economic Outcast marks the definitive shift from US sanctions to the physical destruction of Iranian maritime assets in the Persian Gulf. With the rep…

World Politics US-Iran Direct Escalation

Rein Kaljumäe · Sep 09, 2026 • 06:13

Can the US-Iran Confrontation Survive Its Own Escalation Logic?

Following the 2026 US-Israeli strike that killed Ali Khamenei, the long-standing proxy architecture between Washington and Tehran dissolved into direct fire. Wi…

World Politics Iran-US Conflict

Rein Kaljumäe · Sep 02, 2026 • 08:44

Can Kuwait and Bahrain Survive Someone Else's War?

When Iranian forces struck three merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz on July 7, 2026, they didn't just break the June ceasefire — they exposed it as an agree…

World Politics Iran

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 08, 2026 • 10:33

Can Mojtaba Khamenei Rule a Republic That Banned Dynasties?

When Ali Khamenei died on February 28, 2026, Iran's power vacuum filled itself in under 48 hours — not through deliberation, but through IRGC pressure that stee…

World Politics Iran

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 04, 2026 • 08:56

Will the Kuwait airport strike permanently alter global flight paths?

On June 3, 2026, a drone strike on Kuwait International Airport did more than damage Terminal 1—it triggered a £100,000 insurance spike per flight. This analysi…

World Politics Kuwait Airport Strike

Inese Kalvane · Jun 03, 2026 • 12:14