Topic

Middle East

11 articles

Will Gaza's Disarmament Clause Sink the Whole Track?

The August 2026 El-Alamein meeting marks a radical shift in US diplomacy, moving toward a direct parallel track with Hamas that bypasses traditional UN framewor…

Politics World Middle East

Rein Kaljumäe · Aug 17, 2026 • 09:52

Could an Iranian missile plot force Trump’s secret Ankara flight?

On July 8, 2026, a high-stakes security operation at Ankara's Esenboga Airport saw the US President smuggled via a catering truck to avoid a credible missile th…

Politics World Donald Trump

Rein Kaljumäe · Aug 11, 2026 • 09:48

Can Netanyahu-Trump 2026 geopolitics survive the November midterms?

In July 2026, a high-stakes summit between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu signaled a tactical pivot from military escalation toward a calculated political …

Politics World Middle East

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 28, 2026 • 09:50

Can small nations survive a dual Red Sea and Hormuz blockade?

Global oil arteries are severed as the Red Sea and Strait of Hormuz face a synchronized blockade in 2026, pushing Brent crude past $100. This structural amputat…

World Politics Energy Crisis

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 25, 2026 • 07:26

Can the Lebanon Pilot Zone survive a 10 km collision with reality?

The Lebanon Pilot Zone Test marks a 2026 attempt to replace militia control with the Lebanese Armed Forces across a 10 km buffer. As the June 26 Trilateral Agre…

World Politics Middle East

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 21, 2026 • 13:27

Al-Hayya’s 2026 victory marks the end of the diaspora’s rule

Hamas's 2026 leadership transition marks the end of a two-year collective leadership period, consolidating power under Khalil al-Hayya. The razor-thin 35-34 vot…

World Politics Hamas

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 21, 2026 • 09:52

Can a US tariff survive the geography of a Hormuz Strait blockade?

As of mid-2026, the Hormuz Strait has been effectively closed for 141 days, trapping 21 million barrels of oil daily. This structural economic siege challenges …

World Politics Finance

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 20, 2026 • 07:24

Can Mojtaba Khamenei Rule a Republic That Banned Dynasties?

When Ali Khamenei died on February 28, 2026, Iran's power vacuum filled itself in under 48 hours — not through deliberation, but through IRGC pressure that stee…

World Politics Iran

Rein Kaljumäe · Jul 04, 2026 • 08:56

How did the Islamabad MoU restore global maritime trade?

The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in June 2026 marks a pivotal shift in global energy security following years of blockade. While Brent crude prices have al…

World Finance Estonia

Elisabeth Saar · Jun 15, 2026 • 09:13

Can the U.S.-Iran Peace Accord lower global food prices?

The Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding marks the end of a 100-day conflict that crippled global shipping. By unlocking $24 billion in assets and reopening th…

Politics World Middle East

Inese Kalvane · Jun 13, 2026 • 06:13

Is US-Iran kinetic escalation just a very expensive chainsaw surgery?

Operation Epic Fury saw the US and Israel launch 900 strikes against Iran, dismantling nuclear infrastructure and killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. As a nava…

Politics World US-Iran Conflict

Tony Varga · May 26, 2026 • 06:10